Saturday, August 18, 2012

Consumer sentiment hits three-month high

By NBC News and wire services

Two economic reports released Friday paint a slightly rosier picture of the economy.

Consumer sentiment improved in early August, rising to its highest level in three months as sales at retailers and low mortgage rates spurred Americans to boost their buying plans, a survey released on Friday showed.

But concerns about rising food prices caused a jump in both short- and long-term inflation expectations, the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey showed.

In a separate report, a gauge of future economic activity improved in July on an a drop in new claims for jobless benefits and an increase in housing permits, although the reading still pointed to sluggish growth ahead.

The Conference Board said on Friday its Leading Economic Index climbed 0.4 percent to 95.8, reversing a 0.4 percent decline in June. Analysts surveyed by Reuters had forecast the index would rise 0.2 percent in July.

Fewer jobless claims last month was the biggest driver in the increase of the index, the Conference Board said. Also, building permits jumped during the month, which could point to more construction down the road.

The preliminary reading on the index of consumer sentiment rose to its highest level since May at 73.6 from 72.3 last month, topping economists' forecasts for a slight uptick to 72.4.

"Although the growth rate in personal consumption expenditures can be expected to rebound from the second quarter lull, growth can be expected to remain just under two percent to the end of the first quarter of 2013," sentiment survey director Richard Curtin said in a statement.

The survey's barometer of current economic conditions climbed to 87.6 from 82.7, but the survey's gauge of consumer expectations slipped to 64.5 from 65.6. Expectations were at their lowest level since December.

Strong retail sales during July has boosted the view that economic growth will pick up in the second half of the year but remain lackluster. Growth and hiring were disappointing in the spring, boosting expectations the Federal Reserve could unleash more economic stimulus.

The Conference Board?s Leading Economic Index points to ?slow growth through the end of 2012," according to Ken Goldstein, an economist at the organization.

"However, back-to-school sales are better than expected, suggesting that the consumer is starting to come back," he added.

Reuters contributed to this report.

Source: http://economywatch.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/08/17/13335463-consumer-sentiment-hits-three-month-high?lite

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